Scientists agree that our planet is getting warmer. But is there a human cause for global warming, or is it a natural fluctuation in a long-term cycle? Warming cycles throughout Earth's history have caused glacial melting, animal and plant habitat shifts, and earlier flowering seasons for trees. These climate changes often correlate with changes in Earth's orbit known as Milankovitch cycles. For example, Earth's angle of axial tilt varies over the course of 41,000 years from 22.1° to 24.5%. At greater angles, Earth's poles receive more direct solar radiation, or insolation.
Increased insolation results in higher mean temperatures. The Milankovitch theory proposes that cycles in climate arise from these cyclical changes in Earth's orbit. According to one viewpoint, the current warming of our planet is just evidence of a Milankovitch cycle. However, current climate changes are occurring at a faster rate than those in the To explain the different rates, many scientists point to human use of fossil fuels. Fossil fuels release carbon dioxide (CO,) when burned. CO, traps thermal radiation in Earth's atmosphere, a phenomenon known as the greenhouse effect. Recent increased levels of CO, correlate very strongly with increased mean temperatures. Furthermore, the rate of Increase in CO, levels is also rising.
For this reason, many scientists conclude that climate change is anthropogenic (caused by humans). Data that support Milankovitch cycles do not necessarily contradict this conclusion. Supporters of the anthropogenic climate change model only need to demonstrate that the current warming deviates from Milankovitch cycles and that human activities provide a better explanation, Both the anthropogenic climate change model and the Milankovitch theory are consistent with some of the observed climate changes. However, only one offers the best explanation for the current warming of Earth.